Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.000150 0.000166 0.000183 0.000203 0.000226 0.000250 0.000279
2025-03-23 0.000119 0.000142 0.000169 0.000203 0.000244 0.000294 0.000358
2025-03-30 0.000104 0.000131 0.000164 0.000209 0.000269 0.000345 0.000452
2025-04-06 0.000089 0.000117 0.000153 0.000205 0.000277 0.000375 0.000520
2025-04-13 0.000076 0.000103 0.000140 0.000194 0.000274 0.000388 0.000567
2025-04-20 0.000069 0.000096 0.000135 0.000195 0.000286 0.000423 0.000648
2025-04-27 0.000064 0.000092 0.000134 0.000199 0.000303 0.000466 0.000749
2025-05-04 0.000058 0.000087 0.000129 0.000198 0.000312 0.000496 0.000832
2025-05-11 0.000055 0.000083 0.000126 0.000200 0.000324 0.000535 0.000934
2025-05-18 0.000051 0.000078 0.000122 0.000198 0.000331 0.000564 0.001024
2025-05-25 0.000047 0.000075 0.000119 0.000197 0.000339 0.000596 0.001122
2025-06-01 0.000044 0.000071 0.000115 0.000195 0.000344 0.000621 0.001212
2025-06-08 0.000040 0.000065 0.000107 0.000186 0.000337 0.000627 0.001267
2025-06-15 0.000037 0.000062 0.000105 0.000187 0.000349 0.000670 0.001409
2025-06-22 0.000036 0.000061 0.000106 0.000193 0.000371 0.000739 0.001621
2025-06-29 0.000033 0.000058 0.000101 0.000189 0.000372 0.000762 0.001732
2025-07-06 0.000030 0.000053 0.000095 0.000180 0.000361 0.000758 0.001777
2025-07-13 0.000029 0.000051 0.000093 0.000180 0.000372 0.000802 0.001953
2025-07-20 0.000028 0.000050 0.000093 0.000184 0.000390 0.000867 0.002196
2025-07-27 0.000026 0.000048 0.000090 0.000183 0.000396 0.000906 0.002374
2025-08-03 0.000025 0.000047 0.000089 0.000184 0.000409 0.000961 0.002613
2025-08-10 0.000024 0.000045 0.000087 0.000183 0.000415 0.001000 0.002813
2025-08-17 0.000023 0.000043 0.000085 0.000182 0.000422 0.001043 0.003035